Dr.
Hermann Koelle sent us the following very interesting
communication.
INTERNATIONAL
ACADEMY OF ASTRONAUTICS Moon - Mars Committee
Co-chairs: H.H.Koelle, Berlin,
G.W.Morgenthaler, Boulder, CO
Subcommittee
on Lunar Development
Co-Chairs:
William H.Siegfried, 1805 Oriole
Drive, Costa Mesa, CA 92626-4749, USA Tel.: US 714/896 2532 FAX:
714 896 1094;-e-mail: william.siegfried@west.boeing.com
Uwe Apel,Kölnerstr.30,D-28844
Weyhe; e-mail: uapel@fbm.hs-bremen.de
ANNUAL REPORT
- 1999
Summary of
previous years
The first
attempt of the International Academy of Astronautics (IAA) to
establish an international effort towards a permanent lunar
laboratory was undertaken at the First Special Meeting of the
Academy at Stockholm on August 1960. F.J.Malina was appointed
chairman of the Lunar International Laboratory (LIL) Committee.
The LIL Committee held meetings in Washington, D.C. on October 4,
1961 and in Paris on October 21, 1963. The Committee reported
about its activities in a panel discussion during the 15th
International Congress at Warsaw in September 1964. Participants
were: F.J.Malina, R.Angiboust, V.V.Beniuh, N.Boneff, C.S.Draper,
I.F.Florow, S.Gorgolewski, A.G.Haley, C.W.Henderson, G.L.Mitcham,
W.H.Pickering, L.I.Sedow and J.C.Stoddart.
This effort was
discontinued soon afterwards after it became clear, that the
chances for such an enterprise in the forseeable future were very
poor. The panel "estimated that work on an Lunar
International Laboratory could begin in the decade between 1975
and 1985". As an interim result of the deliberations, a
special issue of the Astronautica Acta was devoted to "Lunar
Bases" as number 5-6, volume 12, September -December 1966,
comprising 10 contributions.
A second attempt
was initiated twenty years after this first panel meeting. During
the 36th IAF Congress in 1985, again in Stockholm, an Ad-hoc
Committee on Return to the Moon was established to concentrate on
the following aspects :
- Why to
Return to the Moon ?
- How to
Return to the Moon ?
- Non-technical
aspects of returning to the Moon.
- Scenarios
for Return to the Moon, leading to a Permanent Lunar
Base.
This Committee,
chaired by H.H.Koelle, organized sessions during the following
Congresses and began compiling relevant information concerning
future lunar activities. A multi-year effort resulted in a
preliminary report published in the May 1988 issue of ACTA
ASTRONAUTICA, vol.17, no.5, pp.463-490, 1988 entitled "The
Case for an International Lunar Base. The final report was
approved by the Board of Trustees in October 1990 at the Dresden
Congress and published as a special report of 64 pages in spring
of 1991. More than 1,500 copies were distributed to the members
of the Academy and the interested public.
The current
"Subcommittee on Lunar Development", is one of two
Subcommittees of the IAA MOON-MARS COMMITTEE comprising the
active membership of a LUNAR FORUM. This FORUM are the receipints
of the Lunar Base Quarterly, contributing as they see fit. A
second round of lunar planning activities was initiated late in
1992 at the request of the Academy President Dr. George Mueller.
Four issues per year of a Lunar Base Quarterly, have been sent to
the members of the FORUM during the years 1993 to 1998 with a
total of over 323 pages. In April 1997 the Academy approved a new
charter for the joint MOON-MARS Committee with the assignment of
preparing the road towards developing attractive integrated
Moon-Mars Exploration and Development Program options. A report
was presented to the IAA President during the 50th IAF Congress
at Amsterdam in October 1999. Within this frame of reference, it
remains to be the primary objective for the years to come, to
compile a comprehensive up-to-date LUNAR DATABASE for
professional program planners, updated annually. It is hoped,
that a new round of political decision-making in this area of
space flight development will take place shortly after the turn
of the century. By then, the up-to-date documentation compiled by
the IAA Committee and designed as a comprehensive decision aid,
will hopefully be useful in future planning efforts. This partial
activity will be integrated into the overall effort to develop a
proposal for integrated Moon-Mars programs when the opportunity
arrises. The present status of the current efforts is documented
below. For those interested, it is possible to request copies of
individual documents of the lunar data base, details are given in
our homepage.
Activities
during the year 1999
It is the
pleasure of the chairman to recognize first the following active
members of the Moon-Mars task force who have frequently
contributed to the deliberations of the Committee during the past
year: S.Abitzsch, R.Amekrane, U.Apel, H.Benaroya, R. Cesarone,
M.Craig, P. Eckart, F.Eilingsfeld, Chr. Gritzner, N.Jarvstrat,
R.Laufer, O. Liepack, R. Lo, H.Mandell, M. Reichert, E. Repic, E.
de Schrijver, W.Siegfried, D. Stephenson, U.Thomas, G.Vulpetti.
The 1999
activities concentrated on compiling and complementing relevant
facts relevant to a combined Moon-Mars exploration program
envisioned for the 21st century. The results of the Committee's
activities are regularly distributed by the INTERNET and letter
communication via a LUNAR BASE QUARTERLY . At the end of 1999
these Bulletins were distributed to 90 members, organizations and
other users. Four communications have been published in 1999,
totaling 46 pages, with the following relevant information and
documents:
INFO-PACKAGES(12):
- INFO 1/99:
News
- INFO 2/99:
Assessment of the current situation with respect to
planning future human missions beyond Earth orbit
(Results of WP23/98)
- INFO 3/99:
News
- INFO 4/99:
New reports on our home page
- INFO 5/99:
Priorities for the development of relevant technologies
- INFO 6/99:
NEWS
- INFO 7/99:
Ranking of arguments in favour of continued human
exploration of space (Results of WP 4/99)
- INFO 8/99 :
Ranking of alternative chief-messages calling for the
continued human exploration of space (Results of WP 5/99)
- INFO 9/99:
Concept for a Near-Term Lunar Laboratory -Executive
Summary of a new study
- INFO
10a/98: News on Meetings and Publications
- INFO 10/98:
Future Activities considered to spread our mesage(results
of WP6/99)
- INFO 11/98:
Human Mars Mission risk estimate
The
Annual Report for the year 1999
WORKPACKAGES
(9)
- WP 01/99:
Revisiting remaining work packages and issues ( based on
results of WP25/98)
- WP 02/99:
Priorities of technologies required
- WP 03/99:
Arguments in favour of a human space exploration program
beyond low Earth orbit
- WP 04/99:
Alternatives of a compressed general message to the
public
- WP 05/99:
IAA 5th COSMIC STUDY Drafts for review
- WP 06/99:
Future activities considered to spread our message
- WP 07/99:
Mars Missions - Estimating the Probability of Success
- WP 11/98:
Comments on the ranked list of tasks resulting from
existing information deficits
- WP 12/98:
6th draft of the Manifesto SPACE 2000
Our electronic
files, available on our homepage of the INTERNET, have been
complemented. They include recent documents such as the drafts of
the Moon-Mars Final Reports: INTERNET: http://vulcain.fb12.TU-Berlin.de/ILR/personen/hh_koelle.html ˇ
- "Comparison
of Future Launch Vehicles for Cargo Transportation to Low
Earth Orbit and Lunar Destinations", ILR
Mitt.314(1997), Technical University Berlin, 1.3.1997, 39
pp. ˇ
- "A
Representative Concept of an Initial Lunar
Base"(Model 4.0), ILR-Mitt.318(1997), Techn. Univ.
Berlin, May 1, 1997, 51 pp ˇ
- "Space
Transportation Simulation Model (TRASIM 2.0)", ILR
Mitt. 319 (1997), Techn. Univ. Berlin, May 5, 1997, 47
pp. ˇ
- "A
Computer Code for Lunar Base Simulatiuon-(LUBSIM
2.0)", ILR Mitt.320 (1997), Techn. Univ. Berlin, May
5, 1997, 42 pp. ˇ
- "Analysis
of a Lunar Factory Baseline Model", ILR Mitt
321(1997), Technical University Berlin, 1 July.1997,
57pp. ˇ
- "On
the Size Optimization of Heavy Lift Space Transportation
System", ILR-Mitt.325(1997), Techn. Univ. Berlin,
1.Sept.1997, 29pp. ˇ
- "A
Method for Estimating the Benefits of a Space
Program", ILR Mitt.328(1998), Techn. Univ.
Berlin,1.April 1998, 40 pp. ˇ
- "Representative
Options for Human Exploration of Planet Mars", ILR
Mitt.329(1998),1.April 1998,Techn. Univ. Berlin, 47 pp.
ˇ
- "Return
to the Moon to stay and going on to Mars - A feasible
scenario for the first half of the 21st Century",
ILR Mitt. 330(1998),Techn. Univ. Berlin, 60pp. ˇ
- "Benefit
Estimating Relationships for the Evaluation of
Extraterrestrial Facilities" , ILR Mitt. 333(1998),
Techn. Univ. Berlin, 86pp. ˇ
- "Prospects
and Blueprints of Lunar Development" (Dec.98 issue),
215 pp. ˇ
- Drafts of
the 5th IAA Cosmic Study: "Preparing for a 21st
Century Program of integrated, Lunar and Martian
Exploration and Development",
- Part
1: Executive Summary , 20 pp.,
- Part
2: Technical Report , 200 pp. ˇ
- "An
Experimental Program for Space Solar Power Development
compatible with Human Moon and Mars Exploration",
Aerospace Institute, Tech.University Berlin, ILR Mitt.
334(1999), 34 pp. ˇ
- "Analysis
of Performance, Cost and Sensivity of a Reusable Heavy
Lift Multi-mission Space Transportation System using
Lunar Propellants ", Aerospace Institute
Tech.University Berlin, ILR Mitt. 335(1999) ˇ
- "Concept
For A Near-Term Lunar Laboratory , (LULAB Model
2000)", Aerospace Institute Tech.University Berlin,
ILR Mitt. 336 (1999),June 1, 1999,40 pp. ˇ
- "The
influence of the lunar crew duty cycle on the operating
cost of lunar facilities", ILR Mitt. 337 (1999),July
1, 1999 ˇ
- 5th Cosmic
Report of the IAA: THE INTERNATIONAL ACADEMY OF
ASTRONAUTICS 5th PREPARING FOR A 21st CENTURY PROGRAM OF
INTEGRATED, LUNAR AND MARTIAN EXPLORATION AND
DEVELOPMENT, Exec,Summary(20pp.),full Report (100pp.) ˇ
All issues of
the Lunar Base Quarterly of the last years including the
recpective annual reports.
The Lunar Data
Base has been complemented during the past year, the table of
Contents and all 10 Parts are available shortly in the INTERNET
on our home page (see above).
DATA BASE AND
BLUEPRINTS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF LUNAR RESOURCES
A Lunar
Base Planning Guide
A comprehensive
compilation of the deliberations of the Subcommittee of Lunar
Development of the International Academy of Astronautics in the
period of 1985 through 1999 compiled by H.H.Koelle (as of
December 31st , 1999)
LUNAR
DATABASE
LEVEL 1:
List of Sections (56 documents, 490 pages, 342 tables, 40
figures, 422 references)
- Basic Data
(10/71/41/2/14)
- Lunar
Market (05/25/21/2/43)
- Lunar Base
Program (06/46/23/2/26)
- Lunar
Science (05/23/09/ -/29)
- Lunar
Facilities (09/73/37/1/179)
- Lunar
Logistics (04 /19/10/ 1/2)
- Lunar space
transportation systems (06/55/59/17/43)
- Lunar cost
and benefits (05/48/36/3/21)
- Blueprints
for Program Alternatives (06/130/106/22/65))
TABLE of
CONTENTS -Level 2
0. DATABASE : (
71 pp.,41 tabs.,2 figs.,14 refs.)
- Doc-L01:
Definitions Doc-L02: Milestones of Lunar Development
- Doc-L03:
Lunar Data and Environment
- Doc-L04:
Subjects and Issues
- Doc-L05:
The Force Field of Lunar Development
- Doc-L06:
Lunar Development Programatics
- Doc-L07:
Lunar Base Systems State Variables and Performance
Indicators
- Doc-L08:
System Comparisons
- Doc-L09:
Legal Aspects
- Doc-L10:
Declarations
1. PRODUCTS and
MARKETS: (25/21/2/43))
- Doc-L11:
Lunar Market Prospects and Structure
- Doc-L12:
Lunar Services
- Doc-L13:
Lunar Products
- Doc-L14 :
Cost and Prices for Lunar Products
- Doc-L15 :
Commercial Activities in Progress
2. LUNAR BASE
PROGRAM : (46/23/2/26)
- Doc-L21 :
The Justification for a Lunar Base
- Doc-L22 :
Representative Lunar Development Program Timeline
- Doc-L23 :
Lunar Development Strategies
- Doc-L24 :
Building-block Scenarios
- Doc-L25 :
Skills and Activities
- Doc-L26 :
Program Uncertainties
3. LUNAR SCIENCE
and HUMAN FACTORS: (23/9/0/29)
- Doc-L31 :
Lunar Science Flields
- Doc-L32 :
Specifications required of Experiments
- Doc-L33 :
Provisional Lunar Science Program
- Doc-L34 :
List of typical experiments
- Doc-L35 :
Current and Planned Projects
4. LUNAR
FACILITIS : (73/37/1/179)
- Doc-L41 :
Functions
- Doc-L42 :
Lunar Facilities and Equipment (LF)-
- Doc-L43 :
List of Mass-categories
- Doc-L44 :
Combined Mass-flows
- Doc-L45 :
Mass-flow Balances for the individual Facilities
- Doc-L46 :
Simulation of Lunar Base Infrastructure Models
- Doc-L47 :
Facility Models
- Doc-L48 :
Preliminary Description of Infrastructure Facilities
- Doc-L49 :
Preliminary Description of Production Facilities
5. LUNAR
LOGISTICS : (19/10/1/2)
- Doc-L51 :
Definitions , Selection Criteria, Requirements, Ground
Rules
- Doc-L52 :
State-variables, control-variables and
performance-parameters
- Doc-L53 :
Options for Lunar Transportation Systems
- Doc-L54 :
Comparison od Early Lunar Logistic Studies
6. LUNAR SPACE
TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS (LSTS)-(55/59/17/43)
- Doc-L61 :
State-of-the-art
- Doc-L62 :
CLASS 1 LSTS
- Doc-L63 :
CLASS 2 LSTS
- Doc-L64 :
CLASS 3 STS - SSTO
- Doc-L65 :
CLASS 3 LSTS - SPACE FERRIES
- Doc-L66 :
CLASS 4 LSTS
7. LUNAR COST
and BENEFITS (48/36/3/21)
- Doc-L71 :
Cost Modeling
- Doc-L72 :
Cost Assumptions
- Doc-L73 :
Case studies
- Doc-L74 :
Benefit Modeling
- Doc-L75 :
Case Studies of Benefits of Lunar Development Programs
8. BLUEPRINTS
FOR PROGRAM ALTERNATIVES (130/106/22/65)
- Doc-L81:
Lunar Development Program-OPTION I "Lunar
Outpost"
- Doc-L82:
Lunar Development Program-OPTION II "Lunar
Laboratory "
- Doc-L83:Lunar
Development Program-OPTION III "Lunar Base "
- Doc-L84:
Lunar Development Program-OPTION IV "Lunar
Factory"
- Doc-L85:
Lunar Development Program-OPTION V "Lunar
Settlement"
- Doc-L86:
Overview of Lunar Development Options
RETURN
TO THE MOON - Tasks still to be accomplished
As we are
concluding a century and beginning a new one, it appears
approriate to take stock again of the tasks which remain to be
done in the near future before a lunar program or a new phase of
the Lunar Development Program can be recommended .
TASKS
AND ISSUES OF FUTURE LUNAR DEVELOPMENT
- Identify
the stakeholders interested, or participating in the
development of lunar resources and their primary
motivations. Estimate their probable relative
influence(weight) as players in the political decision
process for or against a return of humans to the Moon.
- Prepare a
list of essential information to be provided to the
respective decision-makers enabling them to consider
initiating the next phase of the human lunar exploration
program in due time.
- Determine
the objectives and respective experiments of additional
precurser missions required before a human crew can be
dispached again to the lunar surface.
- Define all
facilities and pieces of equipment still to be developed
enabling people to stay permanently on the Moon. Assign
technology readiness factors to those identified.
- Define the
essential facilities and pieces of equipment which have
to be in place on the Moon before the first crew arrives,
and those that can be delivered after arrival of the
first crew.
- Define
pieces of equipment developed for the ISS program that
can be used in their present form or with modifications
in a lunar environment.
- Define type
and size of surface vehicles required on the Moon for
permanent exploration. Prepare preliminary designs with
mass, volume and energy requirements.
- Develop
procedures and strategies on how water ice, in case this
is located at the lunar poles and mined, could be
converted into water and propellants, and how these
products can be transported to the lunar base site?
- Conceive a
development scenario of an evolutionary life support
system to be installed at the lunar base with special
emphasis on crew safety and systems economy.
- Conceive a
development scenario of an evolutionary lunar power plant
system to be installed at the lunar base with special
emphasis on crew safety and systems economy.
- Define and
document additional attractive program options for the
next phases of lunar development not yet analysed.
- Identify
commercial opportunities developing in the process of
future lunar development phases and draft preliminary
business plans.
Those who would
like to see people returning to the Moon to stay and develop its
resources are encouraged to use their talents to contribute to
closing the existing information gap.
TDF 1/2000-11

